Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.9% vs Richards 53.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 81.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 75.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 75.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Foligno
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Foligno
Richards
Last 10: Foligno 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
5
1
Foligno
Richards
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Foligno
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (258)
53.2% (752)
-6.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
56.5% (85)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
58.6% (70)
-4.1%
On even strength, Richards has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Foligno shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Foligno
Richards
Home
43.4% (143)
57.0% (444)
Away
53.2% (158)
51.0% (463)
By Period
Foligno
Richards
P1
46.7%
53.4%
P2
53.1%
55.8%
P3
45.2%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |