Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.1%). Foligno wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.9% vs Stamkos 49.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 71.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Foligno
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Foligno
Stamkos
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (258)
49.0% (433)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
54.3% (70)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
38.5% (26)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
43.4% (143)
51.1% (327)
Away
53.2% (158)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
46.7%
46.6%
P2
53.1%
51.5%
P3
45.2%
48.6%
OT
57.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |