Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.9% vs Zajac 54.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 79.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 75.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 79.1%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Foligno
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Foligno
Zajac
Last 5: Foligno 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Foligno
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (258)
55.7% (1,020)
-8.8%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
52.7% (201)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.3% (173)
+4.2%
On even strength, Zajac has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Foligno is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Foligno shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Foligno
Zajac
Home
43.4% (143)
54.9% (685)
Away
53.2% (158)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Foligno
Zajac
P1
46.7%
54.6%
P2
53.1%
55.5%
P3
45.2%
54.2%
OT
57.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |