Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 43.2%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Johansson 44.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 60.2%
Defensive zone
Johansson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.0%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Smith
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Johansson
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
1
Smith
Johansson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Johansson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Johansson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
43.2% (576)
+1.7%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
42.9% (112)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Johansson is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Smith
Johansson
Home
46.1% (167)
44.2% (360)
Away
42.5% (226)
42.3% (350)
By Period
Smith
Johansson
P1
42.1%
46.2%
P2
43.4%
42.6%
P3
47.0%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |