Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 44.3% vs Kadri 52.4% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 69.3%
Defensive zone
Johansson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Johansson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Johansson
Kadri
Last 8: Johansson 4-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Johansson
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
4
1
Johansson
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (68)
52.2% (586)
-14.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
54.4% (149)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
62.5% (8)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Johansson is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Johansson shoots left. Kadri is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Johansson
Kadri
Home
34.4% (32)
52.7% (412)
Away
39.6% (53)
52.9% (331)
By Period
Johansson
Kadri
P1
42.4%
52.8%
P2
29.6%
51.3%
P3
45.0%
54.2%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |