Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansson wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Elias 45.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 64.6%
Defensive zone
Johansson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Johansson 57.7%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Johansson
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Johansson
Elias
Last 9: Johansson 3-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Johansson
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
4
Johansson
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (596)
44.5% (407)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
47.8% (23)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
46.8% (62)
-3.9%
On even strength, Elias has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Johansson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Johansson shoots left. Elias is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Johansson
Elias
Home
43.5% (313)
44.8% (252)
Away
37.9% (356)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Johansson
Elias
P1
42.6%
43.0%
P2
42.9%
47.8%
P3
36.4%
43.4%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |