Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Stastny 54.4% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 94.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 83.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 85.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 90.3%
9.7%
90.3%
Johansson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Johansson
Stastny
Last 5: Johansson 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (445)
53.6% (859)
-13.2%
Power Play
33.3% (39)
59.9% (202)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
55.1% (78)
-5.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Johansson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Johansson shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Johansson
Stastny
Home
42.6% (249)
56.9% (596)
Away
37.3% (241)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Johansson
Stastny
P1
43.9%
53.9%
P2
33.5%
56.2%
P3
42.5%
54.4%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
39.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |