Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.7%). Look for Kessel on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansson wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kessel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Kessel 46.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 61.3%
Defensive zone
Johansson 65.7%
Neutral zone
Johansson 62.9%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Johansson
Kessel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Johansson
Kessel
Last 6: Johansson 2-4 Kessel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kessel
0
1
Johansson
Kessel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kessel
2
3
Johansson
Kessel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Kessel
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (596)
40.0% (45)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
50.0% (12)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kessel shoots right. Johansson is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Johansson shoots left. Kessel is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Johansson
Kessel
Home
43.5% (313)
46.4% (28)
Away
37.9% (356)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Johansson
Kessel
P1
42.6%
42.1%
P2
42.9%
40.9%
P3
36.4%
37.5%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Kessel
34.0%▼
35.7%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |