Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansson wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.3% vs Nash 48.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 81.7%
Defensive zone
Johansson 62.1%
Neutral zone
Johansson 73.1%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Johansson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Johansson
Nash
Last 10: Johansson 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
4
Johansson
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Johansson
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,522)
48.7% (4,621)
-7.7%
Power Play
42.5% (351)
51.0% (249)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
44.9% (550)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Johansson is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,040).
Johansson shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Johansson
Nash
Home
42.7% (1,459)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
39.5% (1,518)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Johansson
Nash
P1
42.8%
49.0%
P2
40.4%
47.9%
P3
40.5%
48.0%
OT
28.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Riley Nash |