Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 32.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 38.8% vs Nash 46.5% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 73.5%
Defensive zone
Johansson 80.6%
Neutral zone
Johansson 78.3%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Johansson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Johansson
Nash
Last 7: Johansson 1-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Johansson
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Johansson
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (248)
46.0% (615)
-10.9%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
58.6% (29)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
27.3% (22)
-5.1%
On power play, Nash has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Johansson is 32.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Johansson shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Johansson
Nash
Home
36.4% (140)
54.1% (320)
Away
32.8% (134)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Johansson
Nash
P1
35.1%
44.8%
P2
32.7%
47.5%
P3
36.5%
44.9%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
35.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
34.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Riley Nash |