Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 44.1% vs Carter 49.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 75.5%
Defensive zone
Johansson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Johansson 61.7%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Johansson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Johansson
Carter
Last 6: Johansson 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Johansson
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (576)
49.7% (390)
-6.5%
Power Play
42.9% (112)
57.1% (7)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
48.5% (33)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Johansson is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Johansson shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Johansson
Carter
Home
44.2% (360)
51.5% (171)
Away
42.3% (350)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Johansson
Carter
P1
46.2%
50.7%
P2
42.6%
48.4%
P3
41.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |