Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Johansson wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Koivu 52.6% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 84.7%
Defensive zone
Johansson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Johansson 74.9%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Johansson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansson
Koivu
Last 8: Johansson 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Johansson
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Johansson
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (596)
52.7% (873)
-12.4%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
63.1% (168)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
47.9% (267)
-5.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Johansson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Johansson shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Johansson
Koivu
Home
43.5% (313)
56.7% (601)
Away
37.9% (356)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Johansson
Koivu
P1
42.6%
51.2%
P2
42.9%
55.2%
P3
36.4%
51.3%
OT
22.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
39.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |