Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansson wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 44.1% vs Koivu 52.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 56.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 91.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 77.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Johansson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Johansson
Koivu
Last 8: Johansson 5-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
0
Johansson
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Johansson
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
3
1
Johansson
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (576)
52.2% (805)
-9.0%
Power Play
42.9% (112)
59.9% (152)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.0% (239)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Johansson is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Johansson shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Johansson
Koivu
Home
44.2% (360)
54.0% (639)
Away
42.3% (350)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Johansson
Koivu
P1
46.2%
52.7%
P2
42.6%
50.4%
P3
41.3%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |