Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 76.9%
Defensive zone
Johansson 82.1%
Neutral zone
Johansson 78.8%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Johansson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Johansson
Steel
Last 7: Johansson 1-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Johansson
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansson
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Johansson
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,522)
50.6% (2,876)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.5% (351)
62.6% (179)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
37.4% (254)
-1.1%
On power play, Steel has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Johansson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,937).
Johansson shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Johansson
Steel
Home
42.7% (1,459)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
39.5% (1,518)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Johansson
Steel
P1
42.8%
51.9%
P2
40.4%
49.5%
P3
40.5%
49.6%
OT
28.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sam Steel |