Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.3% vs Oshie 46.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 84.6%
Defensive zone
Johansson 68.1%
Neutral zone
Johansson 50.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Johansson
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johansson
Oshie
Last 6: Johansson 3-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
0
Johansson
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Johansson
Oshie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Johansson
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,522)
45.2% (764)
-4.2%
Power Play
42.5% (351)
47.7% (1,221)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
40.2% (164)
-3.9%
On power play, Oshie has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Johansson is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,040).
Johansson shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Johansson
Oshie
Home
42.7% (1,459)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
39.5% (1,518)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Johansson
Oshie
P1
42.8%
47.3%
P2
40.4%
45.2%
P3
40.5%
46.7%
OT
28.3%
40.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |