Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Johansson wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Oshie 45.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 59.4%
Defensive zone
Johansson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Johansson 52.4%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Johansson
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johansson
Oshie
Last 5: Johansson 2-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
0
Johansson
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Johansson
Oshie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Johansson
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (596)
46.8% (186)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
25.0% (16)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
36.0% (25)
+6.9%
On power play, Johansson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Johansson is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Johansson shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Johansson
Oshie
Home
43.5% (313)
47.2% (106)
Away
37.9% (356)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Johansson
Oshie
P1
42.6%
55.6%
P2
42.9%
40.8%
P3
36.4%
37.5%
OT
22.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |