Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Kruger 49.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 74.7%
Neutral zone
Kruger 50.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Matthews
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Matthews
Kruger
Last 8: Matthews 1-7 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
3
Matthews
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Matthews
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
3
Matthews
Kruger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
52.5% (621)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
0.0% (6)
+53.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
31.0% (100)
-16.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Kruger is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kruger
Home
48.4% (562)
50.9% (395)
Away
45.3% (570)
47.0% (332)
By Period
Matthews
Kruger
P1
51.3%
47.6%
P2
44.5%
46.4%
P3
44.6%
54.5%
OT
55.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |