Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Kruger 50.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 51.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.0%
Neutral zone
Kruger 52.3%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Smith
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Smith
Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Smith
Kruger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
52.4% (3,509)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
46.5% (99)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
42.9% (860)
+2.6%
On power play, Smith has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Home / Away
Smith
Kruger
Home
53.8% (860)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Smith
Kruger
P1
52.1%
49.7%
P2
50.2%
49.7%
P3
53.3%
52.1%
OT
62.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |