Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Kruger 46.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kruger 51.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Smith
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Smith
Kruger
Last 6: Smith 3-3 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Smith
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
2
Smith
Kruger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
45.4% (502)
-0.5%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
46.7% (60)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
On power play, Kruger has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Kruger is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Smith
Kruger
Home
46.1% (167)
46.1% (267)
Away
42.5% (226)
45.7% (352)
By Period
Smith
Kruger
P1
42.1%
42.5%
P2
43.4%
44.7%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Craig Smith |