Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Kruger 50.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Kruger leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 93.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 77.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 71.6%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Smith
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Smith
Kruger
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
2
Smith
Kruger
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
7
Smith
Kruger
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Smith
Kruger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
52.4% (3,509)
-11.6%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
46.5% (99)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
42.9% (860)
+1.5%
On even strength, Kruger has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Home / Away
Smith
Kruger
Home
42.3% (556)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
39.1% (675)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Smith
Kruger
P1
39.0%
49.7%
P2
42.1%
49.7%
P3
40.2%
52.1%
OT
75.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
40.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Craig Smith |