Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Kruger 46.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 66.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 81.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 84.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
MacKenzie
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKenzie
Kruger
Last 7: MacKenzie 5-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
MacKenzie
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Kruger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
45.4% (502)
+9.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
46.7% (60)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
48.1% (52)
+0.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kruger
Home
56.1% (228)
46.1% (267)
Away
52.7% (201)
45.7% (352)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kruger
P1
53.4%
42.5%
P2
55.1%
44.7%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |