Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.3%). Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Kruger 52.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 66.1%
Neutral zone
Kruger 51.9%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
MacKenzie
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKenzie
Kruger
Last 5: MacKenzie 1-4 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
4
MacKenzie
Kruger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
54.6% (509)
+0.5%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
33.3% (3)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
49.4% (158)
-0.5%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kruger is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kruger
Home
54.9% (506)
53.4% (328)
Away
51.4% (516)
53.2% (342)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kruger
P1
54.5%
55.0%
P2
55.6%
53.1%
P3
48.2%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |