Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.9%). Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Kruger 46.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 54.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kruger 59.1%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Brassard
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brassard
Kruger
Last 7: Brassard 5-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Kruger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
1
Brassard
Kruger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
45.4% (502)
-0.3%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
46.7% (60)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kruger
Home
45.4% (284)
46.1% (267)
Away
44.7% (333)
45.7% (352)
By Period
Brassard
Kruger
P1
51.2%
42.5%
P2
40.3%
44.7%
P3
43.2%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |