Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Kruger 46.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 92.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 75.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 83.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Carter
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Carter
Kruger
Last 8: Carter 7-1 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Kruger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Kruger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
45.4% (502)
+5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
46.7% (60)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Carter shoots right. Kruger is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Carter
Kruger
Home
52.3% (421)
46.1% (267)
Away
49.0% (353)
45.7% (352)
By Period
Carter
Kruger
P1
55.4%
42.5%
P2
49.1%
44.7%
P3
47.6%
50.0%
OT
58.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |