Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Kruger 52.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 73.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 53.1%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Larsson
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Kruger
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
Larsson
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Larsson
Kruger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
54.6% (509)
-9.4%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
33.3% (3)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.4% (158)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Kruger is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kruger
Home
45.1% (153)
53.4% (328)
Away
43.1% (188)
53.2% (342)
By Period
Larsson
Kruger
P1
45.3%
55.0%
P2
41.4%
53.1%
P3
44.0%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |