Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 42.9% vs Kruger 49.2% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 68.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 89.0%
Neutral zone
Kruger 66.3%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Shaw
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Shaw
Kruger
Last 7: Shaw 4-3 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Kruger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
3
Shaw
Kruger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (133)
52.5% (621)
-14.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (6)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
31.0% (100)
-3.7%
On power play, Shaw has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Shaw is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Shaw shoots right. Kruger is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Shaw
Kruger
Home
42.2% (64)
50.9% (395)
Away
34.6% (81)
47.0% (332)
By Period
Shaw
Kruger
P1
28.3%
47.6%
P2
43.4%
46.4%
P3
46.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
37.9%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |