Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 89.7%
Neutral zone
Kruger 65.9%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Kruger
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
22
(38 meetings)
16
22
Kruger
Duchene
Last 10: Kruger 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
8
Kruger
Duchene
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Kruger
Duchene
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
8
7
Kruger
Duchene
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
53.9% (10,396)
-1.5%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
56.9% (1,665)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
49.1% (468)
-6.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Kruger
Duchene
Home
52.7% (2,242)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Kruger
Duchene
P1
49.7%
54.5%
P2
49.7%
54.5%
P3
52.1%
53.4%
OT
53.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |