Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kruger wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.9% vs Duchene 54.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kruger 69.0%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Kruger
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kruger
Duchene
Last 7: Kruger 1-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kruger
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Kruger
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kruger
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (334)
56.8% (706)
-6.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
56.1% (57)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
42.3% (130)
-4.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kruger is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Kruger shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Kruger
Duchene
Home
51.8% (255)
56.6% (488)
Away
40.3% (238)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Kruger
Duchene
P1
50.3%
52.0%
P2
43.0%
53.7%
P3
44.7%
58.5%
OT
54.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |