Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.4%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.5% vs Backlund 46.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 60.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kruger
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kruger
Backlund
Last 5: Kruger 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kruger
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Kruger
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (502)
45.9% (410)
-0.5%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
44.8% (29)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
42.9% (56)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Kruger shoots left. Backlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Kruger
Backlund
Home
46.1% (267)
49.3% (217)
Away
45.7% (352)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Kruger
Backlund
P1
42.5%
44.0%
P2
44.7%
49.4%
P3
50.0%
42.8%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |