Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.2% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kruger 65.1%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Kruger
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kruger
Bjugstad
Last 9: Kruger 7-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
1
Kruger
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
1
Kruger
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (621)
46.2% (340)
+6.3%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
58.0% (50)
-58.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (100)
0.0% (1)
+31.0%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kruger is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Kruger shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Kruger
Bjugstad
Home
50.9% (395)
49.4% (237)
Away
47.0% (332)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Kruger
Bjugstad
P1
47.6%
46.4%
P2
46.4%
50.4%
P3
54.5%
45.6%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |