Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 48.5% vs Foligno 54.6% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 89.4%
Neutral zone
Kruger 67.4%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kruger
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kruger
Foligno
Last 8: Kruger 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Kruger
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
1
Kruger
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (315)
63.3% (120)
-14.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.5% (95)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
50.0% (20)
-5.4%
On even strength, Foligno has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kruger is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Kruger shoots left. Foligno is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Kruger
Foligno
Home
49.3% (221)
57.5% (120)
Away
46.5% (170)
55.7% (115)
By Period
Kruger
Foligno
P1
55.9%
52.1%
P2
39.1%
61.1%
P3
48.4%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |