Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Spaling 49.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 66.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 71.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 55.2%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Kruger
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kruger
Spaling
Last 10: Kruger 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Kruger
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
4
Kruger
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
50.5% (2,263)
+1.9%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
43.4% (53)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
48.0% (498)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Kruger
Spaling
Home
52.7% (2,242)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Kruger
Spaling
P1
49.7%
49.8%
P2
49.7%
48.3%
P3
52.1%
52.0%
OT
53.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |