Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 52.9% vs Berglund 49.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 81.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 63.4%
Neutral zone
Berglund 62.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Kruger
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kruger
Berglund
Last 6: Kruger 1-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Kruger
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Kruger
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (509)
48.5% (301)
+6.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (158)
50.0% (14)
-0.6%
On power play, Berglund has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Kruger is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Kruger shoots left. Berglund is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Kruger
Berglund
Home
53.4% (328)
53.3% (180)
Away
53.2% (342)
43.0% (149)
By Period
Kruger
Berglund
P1
55.0%
52.3%
P2
53.1%
46.8%
P3
51.0%
46.7%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |