Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 55.9% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kruger 55.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 55.3%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Kruger
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kruger
Gaustad
Last 5: Kruger 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kruger
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kruger
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Kruger
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (597)
59.3% (913)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
72.2% (18)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (164)
52.8% (269)
-1.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kruger is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Kruger shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Kruger
Gaustad
Home
58.6% (408)
58.6% (604)
Away
54.5% (365)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Kruger
Gaustad
P1
54.3%
61.5%
P2
56.9%
55.7%
P3
58.3%
56.6%
OT
61.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |