Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Kruger leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 70.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Kruger
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
23
(51 meetings)
28
23
Kruger
Stastny
Last 10: Kruger 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
9
Kruger
Stastny
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
16
5
Kruger
Stastny
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
9
Kruger
Stastny
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.2%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
59.1% (1,994)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Kruger
Stastny
Home
52.7% (2,242)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Kruger
Stastny
P1
49.7%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
52.1%
53.5%
OT
53.2%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |