Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 55.9% vs Stastny 53.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 85.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 60.4%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Kruger
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kruger
Stastny
Last 5: Kruger 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
1
Kruger
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (597)
53.2% (995)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
57.6% (158)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (164)
61.4% (57)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kruger is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Kruger shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Kruger
Stastny
Home
58.6% (408)
55.1% (586)
Away
54.5% (365)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Kruger
Stastny
P1
54.3%
54.7%
P2
56.9%
53.1%
P3
58.3%
54.2%
OT
61.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |