Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kruger 75.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 58.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Kruger
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kruger
Zacha
Last 7: Kruger 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Kruger
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kruger
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
48.9% (5,102)
+3.5%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
55.6% (804)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
42.2% (555)
+0.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Kruger
Zacha
Home
52.7% (2,242)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Kruger
Zacha
P1
49.7%
49.9%
P2
49.7%
49.2%
P3
52.1%
48.1%
OT
53.2%
53.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |