Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.2% vs Zacha 42.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 81.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 76.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Kruger
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kruger
Zacha
Last 5: Kruger 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Kruger
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (621)
40.9% (399)
+11.6%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
39.5% (43)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (100)
26.7% (15)
+4.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kruger is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Kruger shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Kruger
Zacha
Home
50.9% (395)
41.4% (261)
Away
47.0% (332)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Kruger
Zacha
P1
47.6%
38.6%
P2
46.4%
44.4%
P3
54.5%
36.9%
OT
28.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |