Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kruger wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 48.5% vs Thomas 45.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 69.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 87.9%
Neutral zone
Kruger 59.5%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Kruger
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kruger
Thomas
Last 8: Kruger 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Kruger
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
2
Kruger
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (315)
42.9% (196)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.5% (23)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
0.0% (1)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Kruger is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Kruger shoots left. Thomas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Kruger
Thomas
Home
49.3% (221)
43.6% (133)
Away
46.5% (170)
44.8% (87)
By Period
Kruger
Thomas
P1
55.9%
45.9%
P2
39.1%
45.9%
P3
48.4%
40.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |