Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Pelley 51.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 67.1%
Defensive zone
Kruger 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kruger 51.9%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Kruger
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kruger
Pelley
Last 6: Kruger 4-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
2
Kruger
Pelley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
51.4% (440)
+1.0%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
25.0% (8)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
50.8% (118)
-7.9%
On power play, Kruger has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Kruger
Pelley
Home
52.7% (2,242)
52.9% (221)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Kruger
Pelley
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
49.3%
P3
52.1%
53.8%
OT
53.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |