Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.5% vs Pelley 49.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 61.3%
Defensive zone
Pelley 55.6%
Neutral zone
Pelley 61.0%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kruger
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kruger
Pelley
Last 6: Kruger 4-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
2
Kruger
Pelley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (502)
49.6% (232)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
0.0% (4)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
53.3% (15)
-5.2%
On power play, Kruger has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Kruger shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Kruger
Pelley
Home
46.1% (267)
50.0% (94)
Away
45.7% (352)
48.8% (160)
By Period
Kruger
Pelley
P1
42.5%
46.0%
P2
44.7%
49.0%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |