Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.1%). Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kruger wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.5% vs Johansen 46.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 57.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kruger
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kruger
Johansen
Last 7: Kruger 3-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Kruger
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Kruger
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (502)
45.7% (186)
-0.3%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
40.0% (25)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
33.3% (3)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kruger is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Kruger shoots left. Johansen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Kruger
Johansen
Home
46.1% (267)
47.2% (108)
Away
45.7% (352)
43.0% (107)
By Period
Kruger
Johansen
P1
42.5%
50.0%
P2
44.7%
48.7%
P3
50.0%
37.5%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |