Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 26-22 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Kruger 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 67.0%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Kruger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
26
(48 meetings)
22
26
Kruger
Kesler
Last 10: Kruger 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
22
Kruger
Kesler
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
12
2
Kruger
Kesler
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
2
Kruger
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.0%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
60.7% (1,437)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Kruger shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Kruger
Kesler
Home
52.7% (2,242)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Kruger
Kesler
P1
49.7%
56.5%
P2
49.7%
55.9%
P3
52.1%
56.1%
OT
53.2%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |