Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.9% vs Kesler 55.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kruger 56.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kruger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kruger
Kesler
Last 5: Kruger 2-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Kruger
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (334)
57.6% (231)
-7.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
65.5% (29)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
51.2% (43)
-12.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kruger is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Kruger shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Kruger
Kesler
Home
51.8% (255)
58.8% (114)
Away
40.3% (238)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Kruger
Kesler
P1
50.3%
60.8%
P2
43.0%
60.0%
P3
44.7%
52.5%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |