Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 55.9% vs Kesler 52.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 69.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 84.8%
Neutral zone
Kruger 68.1%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Kruger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kruger
Kesler
Last 5: Kruger 4-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Kruger
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
0
Kruger
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (597)
53.8% (1,005)
+4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
56.6% (205)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (164)
42.3% (196)
+9.5%
On power play, Kruger has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kruger is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kruger shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Kruger
Kesler
Home
58.6% (408)
54.1% (719)
Away
54.5% (365)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Kruger
Kesler
P1
54.3%
53.1%
P2
56.9%
54.5%
P3
58.3%
50.3%
OT
61.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
59.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |