Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 52.9% vs Kesler 56.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 84.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 56.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 59.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Kruger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kruger
Kesler
Last 8: Kruger 6-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Kruger
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
4
0
Kruger
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (509)
57.4% (1,185)
-2.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.0% (243)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (158)
49.2% (236)
+0.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kruger is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Kruger shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Kruger
Kesler
Home
53.4% (328)
58.5% (793)
Away
53.2% (342)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Kruger
Kesler
P1
55.0%
57.0%
P2
53.1%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
56.7%
OT
75.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |