Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.4%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kruger wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 52.9% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 58.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kruger
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kruger
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kruger 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Kruger
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Kruger
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (509)
52.7% (900)
+1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.6% (225)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (158)
54.5% (209)
-5.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kruger is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Kruger shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Kruger
O'Reilly
Home
53.4% (328)
55.1% (693)
Away
53.2% (342)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Kruger
O'Reilly
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
54.7%
P3
51.0%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |