Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 62.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 64.0%
Neutral zone
Kruger 51.5%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kruger
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Kruger
Koivu
Last 10: Kruger 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Kruger
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
4
1
Kruger
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
6
Kruger
Koivu
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
51.9% (3,221)
+0.5%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
59.3% (437)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
48.0% (764)
-5.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Kruger
Koivu
Home
52.7% (2,242)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Kruger
Koivu
P1
49.7%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
52.6%
P3
52.1%
51.8%
OT
53.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |