Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.5% vs Nichol 56.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 63.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 64.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 63.3%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Kruger
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kruger
Nichol
Last 6: Kruger 2-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Kruger
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
3
Kruger
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (502)
58.0% (371)
-12.6%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
25.0% (4)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
57.3% (75)
-9.2%
On power play, Kruger has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Kruger is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Kruger shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Kruger
Nichol
Home
46.1% (267)
58.6% (215)
Away
45.7% (352)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Kruger
Nichol
P1
42.5%
56.1%
P2
44.7%
58.4%
P3
50.0%
57.8%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 05:13 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |