Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.9% vs Horcoff 49.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 53.9%
Defensive zone
Kruger 66.0%
Neutral zone
Kruger 62.9%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Kruger
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kruger
Horcoff
Last 6: Kruger 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Kruger
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Kruger
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
1
Kruger
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (334)
46.9% (318)
+3.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
64.9% (94)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
39.8% (88)
-1.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Kruger is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Kruger shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Kruger
Horcoff
Home
51.8% (255)
46.7% (289)
Away
40.3% (238)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Kruger
Horcoff
P1
50.3%
49.4%
P2
43.0%
47.0%
P3
44.7%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |